写这篇文章时,比特币价格已经站上3万美金大关。比特币花了1081天收复2017年的高点约为2万美金,然而却仅仅在不到一个月的时间里价格就超过3万美金,可谓火箭速度。很多人都在怀疑比特币是否还能继续涨,目前从推特的言论上看,除个别人 (比如黄金死多头 Peter Schiff) 唱空,大部分都认为这只是个开始,牛市应该还会继续一段时间。这次牛市由一些机构入场而启动,但大部分机构和个人投资者还在观望状态,一旦他们大规模入场,那才是牛市见顶的迹象。
谷歌上的趋势搜索页显示目前bitcoin的搜索热度仅为2017年高峰时的25%。

很多业界大咖也给出了价格预测,本文摘录一部分供你参考。
## 中远期预测
1. Scott Minerd (Guggenheim首席投资官),40万美金
> "Our fundamental work shows that bitcoin should be worth about $400,000," he said. "It's based on the scarcity and relative valuation such as things like gold as a percentage of GDP."
2. Tyler and Cameron Winklevoss (文克莱沃斯兄弟),50万美金
> “If we are right about using a gold framework to value bitcoin, and bitcoin continues on this path, then the bull case scenario for bitcoin is that it is undervalued by a multiple of 45. Said differently, the price of bitcoin could appreciate 45x from where it is today, which means we could see a price of $500,000 U.S. dollars per bitcoin.”
3. Joseph Stiglitz and Kenneth Rogoff (经济学家,2001年诺贝尔经济学奖得主),2018年预测到2028年比特币为100美元
Both said the price of a single bitcoin could be worth $100 by 2028. Citing overregulation, Stiglitz told Financial News in July that “bitcoin could easily be worth $100 in ten years.”
5. Dan Held (Kraken的业务发展主管),100万美金
> It certainly won't be going from $20k to $100k. It could move from $20k to $1M and then only have smaller cycles after. This may be one of the final big cycles.
6. JP Morgan 预测到2022年底为65万美元
> Bitcoin price to grow 'ten times by end of 2022' as JP Morgan estimates value of $650,000
## 短期预测
短期预测主要指的是这一轮的牛市的高点,也可以认为是2021年最高点的预测
1. 笑来老师预测高点16万到22万之间

2. Ali Mizani Oskui (FiCAS创始人),预测高点在20万到30万之间

3. PlanB (planbtc.com) 的使用三种模型提供了三个预测价格,基于S2FX模型的28.8万,S2Fv模型的10万和S2Fv1模型的5.5万 \[1\]
4. Charles Edwards (Capriole投资创始人) 预测在10万到20万之间

5. Willy Woo (线上分析师,https://willywoo.substack.com/) 预测价格在20万到30万之间。
> "A Price Target of $100k is overly conservative with expectation for 2021 is on track for $200k - $300k." - Willy Woo
看这些预测总体的感觉是比特币牛市在2021年还会持续一段时间,价格还有很大的上升空间,但是,预测终归是预测,一定是有很多不确定性的。这些预测可以作为你的参考,一定要独立思考后审慎的做出自己的投资决策。
\[1\] https://100trillionusd.github.io/